Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

A win by the Houston Texans over the Jacksonville Jaguars is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at NRG Stadium). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Texans are averaging 18.3 points per game on offense this year (21st in NFL), and they are allowing 24.7 points per game (23rd) on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive perspective, the Jaguars are putting up 276.3 total yards per contest (27th-ranked). They rank 27th in the NFL on defense (361.7 total yards allowed per game).

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Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Texans (-6) Under (44.5) Texans 25, Jaguars 17

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Jaguars based on the moneyline is 31.2%.
  • Jacksonville has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • Jacksonville games have gone over the point total once this year.
  • This season, Jaguars games have resulted in an average scoring total of 45.7, which is 1.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Texans Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Texans’ implied win probability is 73.3%.
  • Houston has put together a 0-2-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Texans have not covered the spread this season (0-0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
  • Houston games have hit the over once this season.
  • The average total for Texans games this season (playoffs included) has been 46.8, 2.3 points higher than the total for this game.

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Jaguars vs. Texans 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texans 18.3 24.7 19 13 18 30.5
Jaguars 13.3 28.3 13 18 13.5 33.5

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