Saints vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

The New Orleans Saints will meet the Cleveland Browns at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 1 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Saints will win — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (385.6 yards allowed per game), the Saints have played better offensively, ranking 16th in the NFL by averaging 334.8 yards per game. The Browns’ offense has been a bottom-five unit in total offense this season, compiling 274.4 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 15th with 328.2 total yards ceded per contest.

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Saints vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-1) Toss Up (44.5) Saints 25, Browns 18

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Saints Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Saints have an implied win probability of 52.4%.
  • New Orleans is 4-6-0 ATS this season.
  • The Saints have been favored by 1 point or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • A total of six out of 10 New Orleans games this season have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 44.5 points, one more than the average point total for Saints games this season (playoffs included).

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Browns Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • Cleveland has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover six times.
  • The Browns are 3-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, three of Cleveland’s nine games with a set number have gone over the point total.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (41.4).

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Saints vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Saints 22.7 24.6 23.2 25.2 22.2 24
Browns 16.4 23.7 17 25.2 15.8 21.8

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